Yes, No, and the reason behind the price.
Paste a Kalshi or Polymarket market URL and generate a thesis brief showing the Yes case, No case, price context, resolution notes, catalysts, and what could move the market next.
Live v3: uses a Netlify Function and OpenAI to formulate a structured Market Thesis Brief.
Built around the market question.
Yes thesis
The strongest argument for why the event could happen, with the assumptions and catalysts that matter.
No thesis
The strongest argument against the event, including what the market may be overlooking.
Price context
Current implied probability, movement, volume, platform notes, and resolution details in plain English.
Bring the market and the context.
Market Thesis AI now accepts a market URL plus optional notes. Add a price snapshot, rules text, source notes, podcast takeaways, or your own question, and the brief will use that context to sharpen the Yes and No cases.
Brief output
- Plain-English market question
- Yes thesis and No thesis
- Price context and implied probability when available
- Catalysts that could move the market next
- Resolution notes and source trail
What the brief shows.
| Part | Purpose |
|---|---|
| Market question | Turns the contract wording into plain English. |
| Yes / No cases | Shows both sides of the market without comment-thread chaos. |
| Price context | Explains what the market price is saying right now. |
| Catalyst watch | Identifies events, data, news, or platform divergence that could move the price. |
| Resolution notes | Highlights how the market settles and where wording matters. |
Want updates or want to test the next build?
Send a note. Use this for feedback, early access, bugs, or a prediction-market category you want Market Thesis AI to support first.